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School Outlook Map

Where the students were, and where they will be — counted back to 1899, projected to 2055.

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What these maps show

United States

Public school enrolment counted from 1899 to 2024, then projected to 2055. It stood at 15,503,110 students in 1899, peaked at 50,796,445 in 2019, and was 49,387,403 in 2024.

  • The projection puts 2055 at 43,176,656 students, −12.6% against 2024.
  • By 2040, 2,952 of 3,139 counties are projected to have fewer students than today; 184 to have more.
  • 27 of the 51 states have never since matched the enrolment they reached before 1980.

South Korea

Students in grades 1–12, counted from 1965 to 2026, then projected to 2050 from children who are already born and, past 2032, from the birth rate the register shows today.

  • Enrolment peaked at 9,990,902 in 1982. In 2026 it was 4,837,512, −51.6% on that peak.
  • By 2050 the projection puts it at 2,495,556, −75.0% on the peak.
  • 10 of the 17 provinces are already below half the students they once had.

Counted figures come from the sources listed under each map; the projected ones are this page’s own model, not an official forecast. Every figure here is read from the same data the map draws, so the two cannot disagree.